State | Order Date | Standard Deviation (RMSE From stay at home to start of reopening period) |
Infection Rate (From stay at home to start of reopening period) |
R Squared (From stay at home to start of reopening period) |
Slope Standard Error (From stay at home to start of reopening period) |
Confidence Interval (From stay at home to start of reopening period) |
Maximum Number of Days Before | Maximum Number of Cases Before | n (days) |
Standard Deviation (RMSE From start of reopening period to start of second shutdown / today) |
Infection Rate (From start of reopening period to start of second shutdown / today) |
R Squared (From start of reopening period to start of second shutdown / today) |
Slope Standard Error (From start of reopening period to start of second shutdown / today) |
Confidence Interval (From start of reopening period to start of second shutdown / today) |
Maximum Number of Days After | Maximum Number of Cases After | Mean Slope Change (Log Scale) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Alabama | 2020-04-30 | 0.042 | 0.022 | 0.945 | 0.001 | (0.02, 0.025) | 27 | 7187 | 262 | 0.132 | 0.006 | 0.922 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.006) | 262 | 422598 | 0.110 |
1 | Alaska | 2020-04-24 | 0.047 | 0.020 | 0.921 | 0.001 | (0.018, 0.022) | 28 | 344 | 268 | 0.096 | 0.009 | 0.981 | 0.0 | (0.009, 0.009) | 268 | 51938 | 0.076 |
2 | Arizona | 2020-05-04 | 0.042 | 0.023 | 0.968 | 0.001 | (0.021, 0.024) | 35 | 8924 | 55 | 0.037 | 0.016 | 0.979 | 0.0 | (0.015, 0.017) | 55 | 73920 | 0.014 |
3 | California | 2020-05-08 | 0.165 | 0.032 | 0.893 | 0.002 | (0.029, 0.036) | 51 | 63800 | 65 | 0.009 | 0.011 | 0.998 | 0.0 | (0.01, 0.011) | 65 | 324543 | -0.023 |
4 | Colorado | 2020-04-27 | 0.064 | 0.027 | 0.943 | 0.001 | (0.025, 0.03) | 33 | 13879 | 63 | 0.024 | 0.005 | 0.941 | 0.0 | (0.005, 0.006) | 63 | 32511 | -0.003 |
5 | Connecticut | 2020-05-20 | 0.219 | 0.027 | 0.819 | 0.002 | (0.024, 0.031) | 59 | 39017 | 242 | 0.089 | 0.003 | 0.836 | 0.0 | (0.003, 0.003) | 242 | 223422 | 0.062 |
6 | Delaware | 2020-05-08 | 0.141 | 0.038 | 0.929 | 0.002 | (0.035, 0.042) | 46 | 6111 | 254 | 0.047 | 0.003 | 0.968 | 0.0 | (0.003, 0.004) | 254 | 70294 | 0.009 |
7 | District of Columbia | 2020-05-29 | 0.091 | 0.018 | 0.919 | 0.001 | (0.016, 0.019) | 59 | 8538 | 233 | 0.028 | 0.002 | 0.968 | 0.0 | (0.002, 0.002) | 233 | 33851 | 0.010 |
8 | Florida | 2020-05-04 | 0.040 | 0.017 | 0.937 | 0.001 | (0.015, 0.018) | 32 | 36897 | 52 | 0.024 | 0.009 | 0.967 | 0.0 | (0.008, 0.009) | 52 | 114018 | 0.007 |
9 | Georgia | 2020-04-24 | 0.035 | 0.028 | 0.963 | 0.001 | (0.025, 0.03) | 22 | 22491 | 268 | 0.112 | 0.005 | 0.933 | 0.0 | (0.005, 0.006) | 268 | 815995 | 0.084 |
10 | Hawaii | 2020-04-30 | 0.114 | 0.021 | 0.791 | 0.002 | (0.017, 0.024) | 37 | 618 | 262 | 0.178 | 0.008 | 0.911 | 0.0 | (0.007, 0.008) | 262 | 24595 | 0.157 |
11 | Idaho | 2020-05-01 | 0.180 | 0.027 | 0.731 | 0.003 | (0.021, 0.033) | 38 | 2015 | 261 | 0.133 | 0.008 | 0.951 | 0.0 | (0.007, 0.008) | 261 | 155554 | 0.106 |
12 | Illinois | 2020-05-29 | 0.198 | 0.027 | 0.881 | 0.001 | (0.024, 0.029) | 70 | 117455 | 233 | 0.048 | 0.004 | 0.975 | 0.0 | (0.004, 0.005) | 233 | 1068829 | 0.021 |
13 | Indiana | 2020-05-04 | 0.162 | 0.036 | 0.876 | 0.002 | (0.031, 0.04) | 42 | 20507 | 258 | 0.046 | 0.005 | 0.987 | 0.0 | (0.005, 0.006) | 258 | 590211 | 0.010 |
14 | Kansas | 2020-05-04 | 0.034 | 0.031 | 0.989 | 0.001 | (0.03, 0.032) | 36 | 5383 | 258 | 0.030 | 0.006 | 0.996 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.006) | 258 | 258354 | -0.001 |
15 | Kentucky | 2020-05-11 | 0.098 | 0.028 | 0.940 | 0.001 | (0.026, 0.031) | 47 | 6677 | 77 | 0.013 | 0.007 | 0.994 | 0.0 | (0.007, 0.008) | 77 | 27586 | -0.015 |
16 | Louisiana | 2020-05-15 | 0.210 | 0.021 | 0.715 | 0.002 | (0.018, 0.025) | 54 | 33837 | 58 | 0.018 | 0.006 | 0.968 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.006) | 58 | 78122 | -0.003 |
17 | Maine | 2020-05-01 | 0.027 | 0.015 | 0.959 | 0.001 | (0.014, 0.017) | 30 | 1123 | 261 | 0.092 | 0.004 | 0.929 | 0.0 | (0.004, 0.005) | 261 | 33559 | 0.077 |
18 | Maryland | 2020-05-15 | 0.106 | 0.028 | 0.927 | 0.001 | (0.026, 0.03) | 47 | 36986 | 247 | 0.030 | 0.003 | 0.983 | 0.0 | (0.003, 0.003) | 247 | 326445 | 0.002 |
19 | Massachusetts | 2020-05-18 | 0.129 | 0.023 | 0.891 | 0.001 | (0.021, 0.025) | 56 | 89125 | 244 | 0.078 | 0.003 | 0.843 | 0.0 | (0.002, 0.003) | 244 | 470140 | 0.055 |
20 | Michigan | 2020-06-01 | 0.184 | 0.016 | 0.750 | 0.001 | (0.014, 0.018) | 70 | 62928 | 29 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.976 | 0.0 | (0.001, 0.002) | 29 | 70728 | -0.014 |
21 | Minnesota | 2020-05-17 | 0.028 | 0.031 | 0.996 | 0.000 | (0.03, 0.031) | 52 | 15668 | 245 | 0.049 | 0.006 | 0.986 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.006) | 245 | 446380 | 0.018 |
22 | Mississippi | 2020-04-27 | 0.023 | 0.027 | 0.986 | 0.001 | (0.026, 0.029) | 25 | 6094 | 265 | 0.110 | 0.005 | 0.934 | 0.0 | (0.005, 0.006) | 265 | 252475 | 0.083 |
23 | Missouri | 2020-05-04 | 0.023 | 0.015 | 0.969 | 0.001 | (0.014, 0.016) | 29 | 8998 | 258 | 0.066 | 0.007 | 0.984 | 0.0 | (0.007, 0.007) | 258 | 449379 | 0.051 |
24 | Montana | 2020-04-26 | 0.063 | 0.016 | 0.829 | 0.001 | (0.013, 0.019) | 30 | 448 | 266 | 0.113 | 0.010 | 0.980 | 0.0 | (0.01, 0.011) | 266 | 89393 | 0.097 |
25 | Nevada | 2020-05-09 | 0.045 | 0.016 | 0.943 | 0.001 | (0.015, 0.018) | 39 | 6171 | 61 | 0.033 | 0.010 | 0.964 | 0.0 | (0.009, 0.01) | 61 | 24904 | 0.017 |
26 | New Hampshire | 2020-05-11 | 0.090 | 0.025 | 0.932 | 0.001 | (0.023, 0.027) | 46 | 3160 | 251 | 0.116 | 0.004 | 0.872 | 0.0 | (0.004, 0.004) | 251 | 56864 | 0.091 |
27 | New Jersey | 2020-06-09 | 0.278 | 0.017 | 0.683 | 0.001 | (0.015, 0.02) | 81 | 165257 | 222 | 0.065 | 0.003 | 0.859 | 0.0 | (0.002, 0.003) | 222 | 627221 | 0.048 |
28 | New Mexico | 2020-05-01 | 0.107 | 0.040 | 0.945 | 0.002 | (0.036, 0.043) | 39 | 3513 | 72 | 0.023 | 0.008 | 0.980 | 0.0 | (0.007, 0.008) | 72 | 15028 | -0.017 |
29 | New York | 2020-05-15 | 0.165 | 0.020 | 0.781 | 0.001 | (0.017, 0.023) | 55 | 348461 | 247 | 0.061 | 0.002 | 0.809 | 0.0 | (0.002, 0.002) | 247 | 1242561 | 0.041 |
30 | North Carolina | 2020-05-08 | 0.054 | 0.024 | 0.962 | 0.001 | (0.022, 0.025) | 40 | 14516 | 254 | 0.106 | 0.006 | 0.937 | 0.0 | (0.005, 0.006) | 254 | 674637 | 0.082 |
31 | Ohio | 2020-05-04 | 0.126 | 0.036 | 0.925 | 0.002 | (0.032, 0.039) | 43 | 20474 | 258 | 0.051 | 0.006 | 0.987 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.006) | 258 | 826754 | 0.015 |
32 | Oregon | 2020-05-15 | 0.118 | 0.019 | 0.868 | 0.001 | (0.017, 0.022) | 54 | 3541 | 247 | 0.076 | 0.006 | 0.971 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.006) | 247 | 133205 | 0.057 |
33 | Pennsylvania | 2020-05-08 | 0.083 | 0.023 | 0.902 | 0.001 | (0.02, 0.025) | 38 | 57371 | 254 | 0.075 | 0.004 | 0.941 | 0.0 | (0.004, 0.004) | 254 | 770985 | 0.052 |
34 | Rhode Island | 2020-05-09 | 0.133 | 0.038 | 0.925 | 0.002 | (0.034, 0.041) | 43 | 10989 | 253 | 0.081 | 0.003 | 0.908 | 0.0 | (0.003, 0.004) | 253 | 104443 | 0.043 |
35 | South Carolina | 2020-04-20 | 0.017 | 0.021 | 0.962 | 0.001 | (0.018, 0.023) | 14 | 4446 | 272 | 0.183 | 0.007 | 0.887 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.007) | 272 | 388184 | 0.162 |
36 | Tennessee | 2020-04-27 | 0.019 | 0.020 | 0.985 | 0.001 | (0.019, 0.021) | 26 | 9918 | 265 | 0.100 | 0.006 | 0.960 | 0.0 | (0.006, 0.007) | 265 | 685321 | 0.080 |
37 | Texas | 2020-05-01 | 0.052 | 0.024 | 0.942 | 0.001 | (0.022, 0.027) | 30 | 29970 | 55 | 0.015 | 0.011 | 0.992 | 0.0 | (0.01, 0.011) | 55 | 134997 | -0.009 |
38 | Vermont | 2020-04-20 | 0.079 | 0.030 | 0.897 | 0.002 | (0.026, 0.034) | 27 | 816 | 272 | 0.103 | 0.004 | 0.877 | 0.0 | (0.003, 0.004) | 272 | 10057 | 0.073 |
39 | Virginia | 2020-05-15 | 0.087 | 0.029 | 0.952 | 0.001 | (0.027, 0.031) | 47 | 28672 | 247 | 0.034 | 0.004 | 0.986 | 0.0 | (0.004, 0.004) | 247 | 439305 | 0.005 |
40 | Washington | 2020-05-11 | 0.096 | 0.015 | 0.838 | 0.001 | (0.013, 0.017) | 50 | 17122 | 251 | 0.046 | 0.005 | 0.982 | 0.0 | (0.005, 0.005) | 251 | 289939 | 0.031 |
41 | West Virginia | 2020-04-30 | 0.171 | 0.038 | 0.854 | 0.003 | (0.032, 0.043) | 38 | 1125 | 262 | 0.036 | 0.008 | 0.996 | 0.0 | (0.008, 0.008) | 262 | 108821 | -0.002 |
42 | Wisconsin | 2020-05-13 | 0.071 | 0.022 | 0.953 | 0.001 | (0.021, 0.024) | 50 | 10902 | 249 | 0.044 | 0.007 | 0.992 | 0.0 | (0.007, 0.007) | 249 | 568166 | 0.022 |