State Order Date Standard Deviation
(RMSE Before school closure)
Infection Rate
(Before school closure)
R Squared
(Before school closure)
Slope Standard Error
(Before school closure)
Confidence Interval
(Before school closure)
Maximum Number of Days Before Maximum Number of Cases Before n
(days)
Standard Deviation
(RMSE From school closure to start of reopening period / today)
Infection Rate
(From school closure to start of reopening period / today)
R Squared
(From school closure to start of reopening period / today)
Slope Standard Error
(From school closure to start of reopening period / today)
Confidence Interval
(From school closure to start of reopening period / today)
Maximum Number of Days After Maximum Number of Cases After Mean Slope Change
(Log Scale)
0 Alabama 2020-03-18 0.082 0.213 0.893 0.052 (-0.011, 0.437) 4 51 42 0.178 0.043 0.898 0.002 (0.039, 0.048) 42 6912 -0.035
1 Arizona 2020-03-16 0.042 0.088 0.750 0.051 (-0.558, 0.734) 3 18 48 0.295 0.045 0.817 0.003 (0.039, 0.051) 48 8640 0.207
2 California 2020-03-27 0.129 0.086 0.980 0.002 (0.082, 0.091) 36 4679 41 0.073 0.024 0.939 0.001 (0.022, 0.026) 41 62148 -0.013
3 Colorado 2020-03-23 0.100 0.119 0.963 0.006 (0.105, 0.133) 15 723 34 0.089 0.031 0.920 0.002 (0.027, 0.034) 34 13441 -0.030
4 Connecticut 2020-03-17 0.057 0.183 0.954 0.023 (0.109, 0.257) 5 68 63 0.312 0.035 0.802 0.002 (0.03, 0.039) 63 38430 0.129
5 Florida 2020-03-17 0.052 0.143 0.984 0.006 (0.128, 0.158) 10 190 47 0.237 0.039 0.836 0.003 (0.034, 0.045) 47 36078 0.094
6 Georgia 2020-03-18 0.048 0.143 0.987 0.006 (0.129, 0.156) 10 197 36 0.148 0.050 0.925 0.002 (0.045, 0.055) 36 21883 0.005
7 Hawaii 2020-03-19 0.011 0.199 0.996 0.013 (0.031, 0.367) 3 25 41 0.160 0.028 0.815 0.002 (0.024, 0.033) 41 613 -0.039
8 Idaho 2020-03-23 0.049 0.101 0.894 0.020 (0.037, 0.165) 5 68 38 0.197 0.030 0.740 0.003 (0.024, 0.036) 38 1984 0.096
9 Illinois 2020-03-17 0.073 0.138 0.950 0.013 (0.106, 0.17) 8 161 72 0.251 0.030 0.860 0.001 (0.027, 0.033) 72 115833 0.113
10 Indiana 2020-03-19 0.048 0.088 0.957 0.007 (0.071, 0.104) 9 60 45 0.246 0.045 0.847 0.003 (0.039, 0.05) 45 19933 0.158
11 Kentucky 2020-03-16 0.025 0.075 0.949 0.010 (0.043, 0.108) 5 21 55 0.218 0.039 0.890 0.002 (0.035, 0.043) 55 6440 0.143
12 Louisiana 2020-03-16 0.085 0.204 0.920 0.035 (0.093, 0.315) 5 115 59 0.313 0.030 0.733 0.002 (0.026, 0.035) 59 33489 0.109
13 Maryland 2020-03-16 0.059 0.121 0.895 0.024 (0.045, 0.198) 5 42 59 0.266 0.043 0.882 0.002 (0.039, 0.047) 59 35903 0.145
14 Massachusetts 2020-03-17 0.115 0.121 0.939 0.009 (0.1, 0.141) 13 760 61 0.193 0.028 0.870 0.001 (0.026, 0.031) 61 87805 0.072
15 Michigan 2020-03-16 0.027 0.160 0.978 0.017 (0.087, 0.233) 4 76 76 0.372 0.024 0.673 0.002 (0.02, 0.028) 76 62711 0.212
16 Minnesota 2020-03-18 0.073 0.156 0.929 0.021 (0.096, 0.215) 6 77 59 0.088 0.034 0.978 0.001 (0.033, 0.036) 59 14969 -0.068
17 Missouri 2020-03-19 0.029 0.239 0.978 0.036 (-0.22, 0.697) 3 42 45 0.245 0.039 0.806 0.003 (0.033, 0.044) 45 8712 0.006
18 Nevada 2020-03-16 0.082 0.135 0.844 0.034 (0.028, 0.242) 5 45 53 0.235 0.033 0.825 0.002 (0.029, 0.038) 53 5920 0.100
19 New Jersey 2020-03-18 0.064 0.176 0.980 0.009 (0.153, 0.198) 9 397 82 0.327 0.020 0.673 0.002 (0.017, 0.023) 82 164497 0.151
20 New Mexico 2020-03-16 0.043 0.097 0.863 0.027 (-0.021, 0.214) 4 21 45 0.154 0.048 0.942 0.002 (0.044, 0.051) 45 3411 0.057
21 New York 2020-03-18 0.115 0.153 0.971 0.007 (0.137, 0.169) 15 2507 57 0.226 0.024 0.761 0.002 (0.021, 0.028) 57 343051 0.073
22 North Carolina 2020-03-16 0.035 0.090 0.929 0.014 (0.044, 0.135) 5 39 52 0.211 0.038 0.877 0.002 (0.034, 0.042) 52 14051 0.121
23 Ohio 2020-03-17 0.054 0.178 0.956 0.022 (0.107, 0.248) 5 67 47 0.212 0.044 0.890 0.002 (0.04, 0.049) 47 19914 0.034
24 Oregon 2020-03-16 0.044 0.067 0.939 0.006 (0.052, 0.083) 9 39 59 0.188 0.025 0.839 0.001 (0.022, 0.028) 59 3479 0.121
25 Pennsylvania 2020-03-16 0.060 0.133 0.952 0.013 (0.099, 0.167) 7 79 52 0.308 0.047 0.838 0.003 (0.041, 0.053) 52 55956 0.175
26 Rhode Island 2020-03-16 0.057 0.073 0.671 0.036 (-0.082, 0.228) 4 21 53 0.209 0.050 0.929 0.002 (0.046, 0.053) 53 10779 0.136
27 South Carolina 2020-03-16 0.072 0.082 0.822 0.027 (-0.034, 0.199) 6 30 34 0.172 0.056 0.911 0.003 (0.05, 0.062) 34 4377 0.090
28 Tennessee 2020-03-20 0.053 0.134 0.977 0.008 (0.116, 0.153) 9 223 37 0.137 0.034 0.877 0.002 (0.03, 0.039) 37 9667 0.003
29 Texas 2020-03-20 0.063 0.132 0.984 0.005 (0.121, 0.143) 13 429 41 0.157 0.040 0.901 0.002 (0.036, 0.044) 41 28727 0.025
30 Vermont 2020-03-18 0.008 0.017 0.750 0.010 (-0.11, 0.145) 3 13 32 0.165 0.045 0.865 0.003 (0.039, 0.052) 32 813 0.148
31 Virginia 2020-03-16 0.086 0.136 0.832 0.035 (0.024, 0.248) 5 49 59 0.228 0.042 0.906 0.002 (0.038, 0.045) 59 27813 0.092
32 Washington 2020-03-17 0.096 0.118 0.973 0.005 (0.107, 0.129) 17 955 54 0.133 0.019 0.832 0.001 (0.017, 0.021) 54 16891 0.015
33 Wisconsin 2020-03-18 0.050 0.153 0.965 0.015 (0.113, 0.194) 6 111 55 0.148 0.028 0.897 0.001 (0.025, 0.03) 55 10611 -0.005