State | Order Date | Standard Deviation (RMSE Before stay at home) |
Infection Rate (Before stay at home) |
R Squared (Before stay at home) |
Slope Standard Error (Before stay at home) |
Confidence Interval (Before stay at home) |
Maximum Number of Days Before | Maximum Number of Cases Before | n (days) |
Standard Deviation (RMSE From stay at home to start of reopening period / today) |
Infection Rate (From stay at home to start of reopening period / today) |
R Squared (From stay at home to start of reopening period / today) |
Slope Standard Error (From stay at home to start of reopening period / today) |
Confidence Interval (From stay at home to start of reopening period / today) |
Maximum Number of Days After | Maximum Number of Cases After | Mean Slope Change (Log Scale) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Alabama | 2020-04-04 | 0.117 | 0.096 | 0.964 | 0.004 | (0.087, 0.104) | 22 | 1727 | 25 | 0.037 | 0.022 | 0.949 | 0.001 | (0.02, 0.024) | 25 | 6979 | -0.059 |
1 | Alaska | 2020-03-28 | 0.046 | 0.102 | 0.976 | 0.006 | (0.088, 0.115) | 10 | 92 | 26 | 0.039 | 0.020 | 0.935 | 0.001 | (0.017, 0.022) | 26 | 342 | -0.063 |
2 | Arizona | 2020-03-31 | 0.097 | 0.134 | 0.981 | 0.005 | (0.124, 0.143) | 18 | 1289 | 33 | 0.036 | 0.022 | 0.972 | 0.001 | (0.021, 0.024) | 33 | 8640 | -0.098 |
3 | California | 2020-03-19 | 0.143 | 0.084 | 0.957 | 0.003 | (0.077, 0.091) | 28 | 1009 | 49 | 0.153 | 0.032 | 0.897 | 0.002 | (0.029, 0.035) | 49 | 62148 | 0.069 |
4 | Colorado | 2020-03-26 | 0.100 | 0.113 | 0.972 | 0.005 | (0.103, 0.123) | 18 | 1430 | 31 | 0.054 | 0.027 | 0.951 | 0.001 | (0.024, 0.029) | 31 | 13441 | -0.059 |
5 | Connecticut | 2020-03-23 | 0.076 | 0.154 | 0.976 | 0.008 | (0.136, 0.172) | 11 | 415 | 57 | 0.198 | 0.027 | 0.830 | 0.002 | (0.023, 0.03) | 57 | 38430 | 0.044 |
6 | Delaware | 2020-03-24 | 0.034 | 0.111 | 0.983 | 0.006 | (0.096, 0.126) | 8 | 104 | 44 | 0.133 | 0.038 | 0.930 | 0.002 | (0.035, 0.042) | 44 | 5939 | 0.022 |
7 | District of Columbia | 2020-04-01 | 0.075 | 0.091 | 0.972 | 0.004 | (0.082, 0.099) | 17 | 586 | 57 | 0.082 | 0.018 | 0.927 | 0.001 | (0.016, 0.019) | 57 | 8492 | -0.009 |
8 | Florida | 2020-04-03 | 0.130 | 0.120 | 0.981 | 0.003 | (0.114, 0.127) | 27 | 10268 | 30 | 0.034 | 0.016 | 0.943 | 0.001 | (0.015, 0.018) | 30 | 36078 | -0.086 |
9 | Georgia | 2020-04-03 | 0.121 | 0.109 | 0.979 | 0.003 | (0.102, 0.116) | 26 | 5831 | 20 | 0.032 | 0.028 | 0.962 | 0.001 | (0.025, 0.031) | 20 | 21883 | -0.077 |
10 | Hawaii | 2020-03-25 | 0.065 | 0.117 | 0.956 | 0.010 | (0.095, 0.14) | 9 | 91 | 35 | 0.105 | 0.020 | 0.792 | 0.002 | (0.017, 0.024) | 35 | 613 | -0.012 |
11 | Idaho | 2020-03-25 | 0.044 | 0.097 | 0.951 | 0.010 | (0.072, 0.122) | 7 | 91 | 36 | 0.154 | 0.025 | 0.745 | 0.003 | (0.02, 0.031) | 36 | 1984 | 0.057 |
12 | Illinois | 2020-03-21 | 0.076 | 0.158 | 0.981 | 0.007 | (0.142, 0.173) | 12 | 753 | 68 | 0.180 | 0.026 | 0.891 | 0.001 | (0.024, 0.028) | 68 | 115833 | 0.022 |
13 | Indiana | 2020-03-24 | 0.096 | 0.123 | 0.964 | 0.007 | (0.108, 0.138) | 14 | 368 | 40 | 0.142 | 0.034 | 0.887 | 0.002 | (0.03, 0.038) | 40 | 19933 | 0.019 |
14 | Kansas | 2020-03-30 | 0.052 | 0.105 | 0.987 | 0.003 | (0.098, 0.112) | 15 | 372 | 34 | 0.029 | 0.031 | 0.991 | 0.001 | (0.03, 0.032) | 34 | 5156 | -0.076 |
15 | Kentucky | 2020-03-26 | 0.050 | 0.102 | 0.987 | 0.003 | (0.095, 0.109) | 15 | 247 | 45 | 0.087 | 0.028 | 0.947 | 0.001 | (0.026, 0.03) | 45 | 6440 | -0.015 |
16 | Louisiana | 2020-03-23 | 0.086 | 0.159 | 0.976 | 0.008 | (0.141, 0.177) | 12 | 1172 | 52 | 0.195 | 0.021 | 0.714 | 0.002 | (0.017, 0.024) | 52 | 33489 | 0.036 |
17 | Maine | 2020-04-02 | 0.076 | 0.072 | 0.961 | 0.004 | (0.065, 0.08) | 18 | 376 | 28 | 0.023 | 0.015 | 0.964 | 0.001 | (0.014, 0.016) | 28 | 1095 | -0.049 |
18 | Maryland | 2020-03-30 | 0.059 | 0.115 | 0.991 | 0.003 | (0.109, 0.12) | 19 | 1413 | 45 | 0.096 | 0.028 | 0.933 | 0.001 | (0.025, 0.03) | 45 | 35903 | -0.019 |
19 | Massachusetts | 2020-03-24 | 0.099 | 0.116 | 0.978 | 0.004 | (0.107, 0.124) | 20 | 3618 | 54 | 0.118 | 0.023 | 0.898 | 0.001 | (0.02, 0.025) | 54 | 87805 | 0.002 |
20 | Michigan | 2020-03-24 | 0.055 | 0.183 | 0.992 | 0.005 | (0.171, 0.194) | 12 | 1942 | 68 | 0.166 | 0.015 | 0.762 | 0.001 | (0.013, 0.017) | 68 | 62711 | -0.017 |
21 | Minnesota | 2020-03-27 | 0.088 | 0.102 | 0.962 | 0.006 | (0.09, 0.114) | 15 | 396 | 50 | 0.025 | 0.031 | 0.997 | 0.000 | (0.03, 0.031) | 50 | 14969 | -0.077 |
22 | Mississippi | 2020-04-03 | 0.174 | 0.107 | 0.919 | 0.008 | (0.091, 0.123) | 19 | 1358 | 23 | 0.020 | 0.027 | 0.988 | 0.001 | (0.026, 0.029) | 23 | 5911 | -0.087 |
23 | Missouri | 2020-04-06 | 0.180 | 0.112 | 0.935 | 0.007 | (0.098, 0.127) | 21 | 3030 | 27 | 0.019 | 0.015 | 0.975 | 0.000 | (0.014, 0.016) | 27 | 8712 | -0.093 |
24 | Montana | 2020-03-28 | 0.049 | 0.113 | 0.982 | 0.005 | (0.101, 0.125) | 11 | 129 | 28 | 0.052 | 0.015 | 0.848 | 0.001 | (0.013, 0.018) | 28 | 445 | -0.061 |
25 | Nevada | 2020-04-01 | 0.093 | 0.104 | 0.979 | 0.004 | (0.097, 0.111) | 21 | 1279 | 37 | 0.039 | 0.016 | 0.950 | 0.001 | (0.015, 0.017) | 37 | 5920 | -0.065 |
26 | New Hampshire | 2020-03-27 | 0.054 | 0.081 | 0.964 | 0.005 | (0.07, 0.092) | 12 | 158 | 44 | 0.077 | 0.024 | 0.942 | 0.001 | (0.022, 0.026) | 44 | 3071 | -0.004 |
27 | New Jersey | 2020-03-21 | 0.065 | 0.182 | 0.989 | 0.006 | (0.169, 0.196) | 12 | 1327 | 79 | 0.252 | 0.017 | 0.696 | 0.001 | (0.014, 0.019) | 79 | 164941 | 0.070 |
28 | New Mexico | 2020-03-24 | 0.031 | 0.090 | 0.990 | 0.003 | (0.084, 0.096) | 12 | 100 | 37 | 0.101 | 0.039 | 0.945 | 0.002 | (0.036, 0.043) | 37 | 3411 | 0.011 |
29 | New York | 2020-03-22 | 0.116 | 0.163 | 0.983 | 0.005 | (0.152, 0.174) | 19 | 15191 | 53 | 0.148 | 0.019 | 0.794 | 0.001 | (0.016, 0.022) | 53 | 346213 | -0.015 |
30 | North Carolina | 2020-03-30 | 0.095 | 0.114 | 0.977 | 0.004 | (0.105, 0.122) | 19 | 1426 | 38 | 0.047 | 0.023 | 0.967 | 0.001 | (0.022, 0.025) | 38 | 14051 | -0.067 |
31 | Ohio | 2020-03-23 | 0.048 | 0.150 | 0.990 | 0.005 | (0.138, 0.161) | 11 | 443 | 41 | 0.111 | 0.035 | 0.934 | 0.001 | (0.032, 0.038) | 41 | 19914 | -0.039 |
32 | Oregon | 2020-03-23 | 0.046 | 0.082 | 0.985 | 0.003 | (0.076, 0.087) | 16 | 191 | 52 | 0.106 | 0.019 | 0.878 | 0.001 | (0.017, 0.021) | 52 | 3479 | 0.024 |
33 | Pennsylvania | 2020-04-01 | 0.068 | 0.126 | 0.993 | 0.002 | (0.122, 0.131) | 23 | 6009 | 36 | 0.070 | 0.022 | 0.915 | 0.001 | (0.02, 0.025) | 36 | 55956 | -0.056 |
34 | Rhode Island | 2020-03-28 | 0.044 | 0.086 | 0.988 | 0.003 | (0.08, 0.091) | 16 | 239 | 41 | 0.120 | 0.037 | 0.931 | 0.002 | (0.034, 0.041) | 41 | 10779 | 0.034 |
35 | South Carolina | 2020-04-07 | 0.162 | 0.091 | 0.948 | 0.004 | (0.082, 0.099) | 28 | 2417 | 12 | 0.016 | 0.021 | 0.955 | 0.001 | (0.018, 0.024) | 12 | 4377 | -0.075 |
36 | Tennessee | 2020-04-02 | 0.119 | 0.112 | 0.973 | 0.004 | (0.104, 0.121) | 22 | 3013 | 24 | 0.018 | 0.020 | 0.982 | 0.001 | (0.018, 0.021) | 24 | 9667 | -0.094 |
37 | Texas | 2020-04-02 | 0.109 | 0.114 | 0.984 | 0.003 | (0.107, 0.12) | 26 | 4984 | 28 | 0.045 | 0.024 | 0.948 | 0.001 | (0.022, 0.026) | 28 | 28890 | -0.069 |
38 | Vermont | 2020-03-25 | 0.057 | 0.125 | 0.975 | 0.007 | (0.109, 0.141) | 10 | 125 | 25 | 0.067 | 0.029 | 0.909 | 0.002 | (0.025, 0.033) | 25 | 813 | -0.058 |
39 | Virginia | 2020-03-30 | 0.059 | 0.099 | 0.988 | 0.003 | (0.094, 0.105) | 19 | 1020 | 45 | 0.076 | 0.028 | 0.959 | 0.001 | (0.026, 0.03) | 45 | 27813 | -0.023 |
40 | Washington | 2020-03-23 | 0.125 | 0.101 | 0.966 | 0.004 | (0.093, 0.11) | 23 | 2221 | 48 | 0.089 | 0.015 | 0.841 | 0.001 | (0.013, 0.017) | 48 | 16891 | -0.012 |
41 | West Virginia | 2020-03-24 | 0.030 | 0.079 | 0.899 | 0.019 | (-0.002, 0.16) | 4 | 22 | 36 | 0.140 | 0.036 | 0.879 | 0.002 | (0.032, 0.041) | 36 | 1110 | 0.061 |
42 | Wisconsin | 2020-03-25 | 0.076 | 0.133 | 0.977 | 0.006 | (0.12, 0.147) | 13 | 621 | 48 | 0.060 | 0.022 | 0.961 | 0.001 | (0.02, 0.023) | 48 | 10611 | -0.073 |